Expanded ACC Standings

It’s getting to be the time of year when you can start to seriously evaluate teams’ postseason chances. With about a month of play left to determine things, it’s still a bit early for some teams, but we can certainly tell who the significant players are.
With that in mind, I’m reviving a feature I started last year where I look at several different computer ratings, including the RPI, and see how the ACC teams stack up. I use non-RPI ratings for two main reasons. First, the RPI just isn’t a very good system and second, because if you look at past history, other computer ratings systems have been as effective or even more effective than the RPI in finding NCAA tournament teams. Remember, the RPI is only one tool that the selection committee uses. All of the other factors they weigh, overall record, good wins, bad losses, late season surges/slumps, etc. are factored into any good computer rating. Plus, there’s nothing that says they don’t crack open a USA Today and look at Sagarin’s numbers.


So anyway, here is a table of the ACC teams and how they are doing. Starting next week, I’ll have current and previous numbers in there along with an arrow showing if the team is rising or falling. For this week, I pointed the arrow the way I think the teams are going.

Team prev/cur

Pomeroy

Sagarin

Greenfield

RPI

Avg.

Postseason Prediction

Trend
Duke (23-1, 11-0) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Absolute lock for a 1 seed

up
cur

1

1

1

1

1

NC State (19-5, 8-3) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Either a 3 or a 4 seed

down
cur

17

15

15

21

17

BC (19-5, 7-4) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Either a 3 or a 4 seed

up
cur

20

19

20

29

22

UNC (15-6, 6-4) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Probably a 4 or 5 seed

up
cur

19

16

21

23

19.75

Miami (14-10, 6-5) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Just misses out on NCAA

down
cur

58

73

52

82

66.25

Virginia (12-9, 6-5) prev

 

 

 

 

 

NIT and happy

up
cur

65

62

55

56

59.5

FSU (15-6, 5-5) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Strong 10 seed

up
cur

28

36

34

67

41.25

Maryland (15-8, 5-5) prev

 

 

 

 

 

9 seed

down
cur

36

34

40

41

37.75

VA Tech (13-11, 3-8) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Watching spring football

down
cur

63

81

76

114

83.5

Clemson (14-10, 3-8) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Squeaks into NIT

down
cur

81

71

73

73

74.5

GA Tech (10-12, 3-8) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Looking forward to next year

up
cur

104

100

109

136

112.25

Wake Forest (13-11, 1-9) prev

 

 

 

 

 

Turmoil

up
cur

89

89

93

109

95

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