Expanded ACC Standings – 2/21/2006

It wasn’t a good week for the ACC bubble teams. Maryland and Virginia both slipped in almost every poll while Miami and Florida State basically spun their wheels. For Miami and UVA, their only chance was to make some big gains in the final few weeks of the season, and that didn’t happen this week. Maryland loss to Clemson dropped them from a high bubble team to a low one. Florida State sort of treaded water in most of the computer polls, but somehow impressed the RPI enough to bump them up seven notches. They still have some work to do in that department, but if just winning the games they should win and losing the ones they should will keep them moving up, then they should feel pretty safe.
That FSU bump is yet another piece of evidence that the RPI is a crappy rating system. I mean, they lost on the road – fairly convincingly – to a good NC State team and then won at home – also fairly convincingly – against a mediocre Virginia team. Neither outcome was unusual or unexpected in any way. The power ratings reflected that; the Noles dropped two spots in the Pomeroy ratings, but stayed the same in both Sagarin and Greenfield. The RPI however really liked that week and jumped them from 67 to 60. Miami had a similar week, losing at home to UNC and on the road at Duke, but yet jumped 10 spots in the RPI!


I just don’t get why the NCAA uses that system.
And now for the standings …

Team prev/cur

Pomeroy

Sagarin

Greenfield

RPI

Avg.

Postseason Prediction

Trend
Duke (25-1, 13-0) prev

1

1

1

1

1

Absolute lock for a 1 seed

up
cur

1

1

1

1

1

NC State (21-5, 10-3) prev

17

15

15

21

17

Either a 3 or 4 seed

up
cur

12

11

10

18

12.75

UNC (17-6, 8-4) prev

19

16

21

23

19.75

A dangerous 4 or 5 seed

up
cur

18

12

20

19

17.25

BC (21-5, 8-4) prev

20

19

20

29

22

Either a 5 or 6 seed

up
cur

21

18

17

34

22.5

FSU (16-7, 6-6) prev

28

36

34

67

41.25

Strong 10 seed

up
cur

30

36

34

60

40

Maryland (16-9, 6-6) prev

36

34

40

41

37.75

9 seed or NIT

down
cur

44

37

42

45

42

Virginia (13-10, 6-6) prev

65

62

55

56

59.5

NIT and happy

down
cur

70

62

62

71

66.25

Miami (14-12, 6-7) prev

58

73

52

82

66.25

NIT, but could finish .500 and get shut out

up
cur

58

73

56

72

64.75

Clemson (15-10, 4-8) prev

81

71

73

73

74.5

Squeaks into NIT

up
cur

72

62

66

66

66.5

VA Tech (13-12, 3-9) prev

63

81

76

114

83.5

Catching up on missed episodes of Lost

down
cur

68

81

82

120

87.75

GA Tech (10-14, 3-10) prev

104

100

109

136

112.25

Paul Hewitt can go shopping for some more gold ties

up
cur

101

99

108

141

112.25

Wake Forest (13-13, 1-11) prev

89

89

93

109

95

Eric Williams falls asleep during NBA workout.

up
cur

92

92

99

105

97

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