Expanded ACC Standings – 2/28/2006

It was a tough week for the ACC. Duke struggled against two weak teams, one a non-conference game, and the bubble teams all played like they didn’t want the hassle of booking travel to the NCAAs. Virginia actually deserves credit for stepping up onto the bubble early in the week with a huge win over BC, but they slipped right back on the weekend in Clemson. Maryland continued their post-McCray slide (think maybe it’s worth the money to pay someone to walk these chumps to class?) and FSU hurt themselves by dropping one in Blacksburg. The only team that clearly helped their position was Miami, but they only played once and are still a long shot.
But before you get too depressed and concede that the ACC will get only four teams in (and maybe only two good teams), consider this excellent Al Featherston article. If read through the whole thing (and you should), you’ll come across this very interesting nugget – since the expansion to 64 teams, no BCS team with 20 wins by Selection Sunday has ever been left out of the tournament. Wow! I had never heard that before. Florida State is sitting at 17-8 with two regular season games remaining. Given how they played in Durham, it’s conceivable that they could beat Duke at home, but failing that, they have a good chance to win in Miami. Given their seeding, they’ll likely get a pretty weak team in their first ACC Tournament game and if they win, another chance for a win on that Friday. That’s a lot of good opportunities to get three more wins. Yeah, it’s Florida State and they aren’t really known for stepping up and winning when they need to, but their chances are actually better than I thought.


Featherston also points out that, like last year, the bubble is pretty weak this year so some teams with what seems like lacking resumes are going to get in. Why not an ACC team (or two)?
But you didn’t click on this to read my ramblings. You want pretty pictures and color and stuff. Here ya go!

Team prev/cur

Pomeroy

Sagarin

Greenfield

RPI

Avg.

Postseason Prediction

Trend
Duke (27-1, 14-0) prev

1

1

1

1

1

Absolute lock for a 1 seed

up
cur

1

1

1

1

1

UNC (19-6, 10-4) prev

18

12

20

19

17.25

Could sneak into a 3 seed or even higher with a big finish

up
cur

12

9

14

13

12

NC State (21-7, 10-5) prev

12

11

10

18

12.75

Could be anywhere from a 4 to a 6 seed, depending on their ACC Tourney

down
cur

17

16

17

34

21

BC (22-6, 9-5) prev

21

18

17

34

22.5

Same as NC State

down
cur

25

19

18

35

24.25

FSU (17-8, 7-7) prev

30

36

34

60

40

Sneaks in with a 12 seed (and angers talking heads)

down
cur

35

39

39

65

44.5

Miami (15-12, 7-7) prev

58

73

56

72

64.75

NIT

up
cur

57

73

55

71

64

Virginia (14-11, 7-7) prev

70

62

62

71

66.25

NIT

up
cur

74

60

59

67

65

Maryland (16-11, 6-8) prev

44

37

42

45

42

NIT (saving College Park from riots again)

down
cur

54

43

47

51

48.75

Clemson (16-11, 5-9) prev

72

62

66

66

66.5

NIT

up
cur

65

56

64

72

64.25

VA Tech (14-13, 4-10) prev

68

81

82

120

87.75

Team forgotten while fans wonder why Frank Beamer hired Mike O’Cain

up
cur

67

80

77

116

85

GA Tech (11-15, 4-11) prev

101

99

108

141

112.25

Getting ready for Thad Young’s one year of college ball

up
cur

94

90

106

137

106.75

Wake Forest (14-14, 2-12) prev

92

92

99

105

97

Prosser can dust off his old copy of The Merchant of Venice

down
cur

106

97

100

113

104

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