A regular reader (and college professor) just figured out who’s going to win the ACC Tournament. He took Pomeroy’s ratings, applied them to the Log5 prediction method and PRESTO! – we have a champeen!
Actually, it just spits out the percent chance of each team winning, but going by the seedings if things ended today (and he put UNC as the 1 see, VT as the 2 and UVA as the 3), Carolina would be the overwhelming favorite. While their rating isn’t that much higher than Duke’s, they have a three times greater chance of winning the ACC Tourney. Check the results:
Fri | Sat | Sun | Champion | |
North Carolina | 1.00000 | 0.85970 | 0.63850 | 0.51400 |
Duke | 0.93910 | 0.70350 | 0.26100 | 0.17110 |
Maryland | 0.91280 | 0.68110 | 0.43280 | 0.14700 |
Georgia Tech | 0.82730 | 0.45320 | 0.21980 | 0.05710 |
Virginia Tech | 1.00000 | 0.51200 | 0.22560 | 0.05130 |
Boston College | 1.00000 | 0.28660 | 0.05180 | 0.02060 |
Virginia | 1.00000 | 0.29980 | 0.11270 | 0.01810 |
Clemson | 0.54830 | 0.08260 | 0.02980 | 0.01300 |
Florida St. | 0.45170 | 0.05760 | 0.01850 | 0.00720 |
North Carolina St. | 0.17270 | 0.03480 | 0.00630 | 0.00050 |
Wake Forest | 0.08720 | 0.01910 | 0.00280 | 0.00020 |
Miami FL | 0.06090 | 0.00990 | 0.00050 | 0.00010 |