I’m changing the name of my weekly column looking at the ACC power rankings because at this time of year, it’s all about the NCAA Tournament. Which teams are on the bubble? What seeds are the top teams headed for?
As part of this, I dropped the columns that look at Ken Pomeroy’s offensive and defensive ratings and added in the rating from the Dance Card site (read about it here) and my postseason prediction. I also colored in the rows based on that team’s NCAA standing. Green means a team is definitely in (right now), yellow means they are a bubble team (which could mean that they are in according to some power ratings, but out in others) and red means they are looking for and early offseason.
| Team | Overall | ACC | Pomeroy | Dance Card | Sagarin | RPI | Postseason | Trend |
| North Carolina | 22-3 | 8-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 Seed |
|
| Duke | 18-6 | 5-6 | 10 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 5 Seed |
|
| Clemson | 19-5 | 5-5 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 21 | 5 Seed |
|
| Boston College | 18-6 | 9-2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 19 | 5/6 Seed |
|
| Florida St. | 17-8 | 5-6 | 36 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 7/8 Seed |
|
| Maryland | 18-7 | 4-6 | 19 | 41 | 25 | 33 | 9 Seed |
|
| Georgia Tech | 16-8 | 4-6 | 16 | 52 | 24 | 56 | NIT |
|
| Virginia Tech | 17-7 | 7-3 | 26 | 32 | 28 | 34 | 9 Seed |
|
| Virginia | 16-7 | 8-3 | 49 | 21 | 32 | 35 | 9 Seed |
|
| North Carolina St. | 13-10 | 3-7 | 83 | 84 | 95 | 121 | Recruiting |
|
| Wake Forest | 11-13 | 2-9 | 96 | 127 | 107 | 132 | Spring football |
|
| Miami FL | 19-15 | 3-8 | 100 | 147 | 139 | 165 | South Beach |
|
Thoughts:
- Boston College had a nice week, winning two away games (yeah, one was Miami, but ask NC State about that) and the computers liked it.
- The traditional power ratings of Pomeroy and Sagarin like Georgia Tech a whole lot more than the RPI. The Dance Card rating is heavily influenced by the RPI, so it doesn’t like the Jackets either. While it’s nice that they picked up two critical wins this week, I think they need to keep it up.
- On the other side, the RPI and Dance Card like UVA a lot more than Pomeroy’s power ratings do. Fortunately for the Cavs, Pomeroy’s 49 ranking is a bit of outlier and unless they keep playing like they did on Saturday, they are going to be dancing.
- Duke’s four-game losing streak hasn’t hurt them in the ratings nearly as much as I would have thought. I wonder what will happen when the streak runs to five?
- NC State’s back-to-back wins over Virginia Tech and UNC had some fans thinking they could make a late run for an NCAA berth, but Saturday’s loss to Miami pretty much ended that hope. They just have too much ground to make up.
Leave a Reply